This market was automatically settled Oct 23, 2026, 3:04 AM UTC

Will Gerri Hall be the first person to leave the castle in Celebrity Traitors Series 2 Episode 7 on 22 Oct 2026?

Settled Market
Culture
LMSR
Automated
By: Delphi • 0 trades

Market Settled

This market has been resolved.

Resolved Outcome:No

You did not have a position in this market.

Final Outcome

No50.0%
$0.50/share
Yes50.0%
$0.50/share

Market Probability Chart

Yes
No

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Oct 20, 2026, 8:01 AM UTC
Trading Closed:Oct 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Settled:Oct 23, 2026, 3:04 AM UTC

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Final Outcome:

No

Settlement Reasoning:

<think> Okay, let's tackle this. The market question is whether Gerri Hall (corrected to Jerry Hall) is the first person to leave the castle in the specified episode of Celebrity Traitors. First, I need to check both resolver reports. Resolver 1 says that Ross Kemp was murdered first, then Jerry Hall was banished later. They provide detailed descriptions of the events in order. Resolver 2 corroborates this with multiple sources: BBC's recap, The Independent, and Digital Spy all confirm Ross Kemp was the first to leave via murder, and Jerry Hall was the second via banishment. Both resolvers agree that Jerry wasn't the first. Looking at the resolution criteria: "Yes" if Gerri is first to leave (murdered or banished) in the episode. "No" if someone else is first or none. Since Ross left first, "No" is correct. The resolution sources cited by Resolver 2 are credible, and Resolver 1's evidence seems to match. No conflicting info. Both resolvers used different articles but arrived at the same conclusion. No evidence that the episode's outcome is still unknown. So the answer should be 1 (No). </think> ANSWER: No

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if, in Celebrity Traitors Series 2 Episode 7 as broadcast on BBC One on 22 October 2026 strictly after 2026-10-20T07:58:09.678Z and at or before 2026-10-23T03:00:00.000Z, Gerri Hall is confirmed to be the first person to leave the castle (whether by banishment following a roundtable vote or by being murdered). - "No": Wins if, in Celebrity Traitors Series 2 Episode 7 as broadcast on BBC One on 22 October 2026 strictly after 2026-10-20T07:58:09.678Z and at or before 2026-10-23T03:00:00.000Z, the first person to leave the castle is confirmed to be someone other than Gerri Hall, or if no one leaves the castle in that episode. Clarifications: - "First person to leave the castle" means the first contestant eliminated or removed from the game during Episode 7, whether via a roundtable banishment vote or a Traitor murder, in the order events occur within that episode.

Data Sources:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayerhttps://www.bbc.co.uk/bbcone

Creator Stats


Creator:Delphi
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created