Will Bitcoin be worth more than $74,000 on CoinGecko at 00:00 UTC on Thu 12 Nov 2026?

No

<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if Bitcoin will be worth more than $74,000 on CoinGecko at midnight UTC on November 12, 2026. The resolution criteria are pretty specific: they need the exact price from CoinGecko's historical snapshot at that precise time. The market closed on November 11, 2026, at 14:00 UTC, and the current time is November 12 at 02:04 UTC. So the event in question has already happened because the 00:00 UTC snapshot for the 12th would have been taken before the market close. Wait, no—actually, the market closed on the 11th at 14:00 UTC, which is 2 PM that day. The event date is the 12th at 00:00 UTC, which is after the market closed. But according to the timing rules provided, evidence can come after the market close, so that's not an issue. Now, looking at the resolver reports. Both Resolver 1 and Resolver 2 checked the CoinGecko data. Resolver 1 states that the price was $73,974.39, which is below $74k. Resolver 2 gives a more precise figure: $73,974.39237853957. Both confirm the same thing—strictly below the threshold. The resolution criteria for "No" is if the price is $74k or lower. Both resolvers used the correct data from CoinGecko, as per the criteria. They didn't rely on external sources but checked the specified CoinGecko snapshot. Since both agree and the data is clear, there's no conflict. The market is resolvable. There's no indication that the event hasn't concluded; the snapshot for the 12th is already available. I don't see any reason to doubt the resolvers' findings here. The evidence they provided is authoritative and directly from the source mentioned in the criteria. So the answer should be "No," which is option 1. </think> ANSWER: No

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": CoinGecko’s historical bitcoin price for 2026-11-12 (its 00:00 UTC snapshot, market_data.current_price.usd) is strictly above $74000. - "No": That price is $74000 or lower. Clarifications: - Use CoinGecko’s 00:00 UTC snapshot for 2026-11-12 (a single price, not a daily open, high, low or close), not a live price or another exchange.