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Will regular gasoline in Japan average more than ¥170.1 a litre in the Mon 2 Nov 2026 survey?

Active Market
Economics
LMSR
Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: 0x14c0...2956

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Market Stats

Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 4, 2026, 5:54 PM UTC
Trading Closes:Nov 5, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement

Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Japan’s energy agency (ANRE) reports a national average retail price for regular gasoline strictly above ¥170.1 per litre (the 2026-10-26 figure) in its weekly survey for 2026-11-02, as stated on its fuel price support site. - "No": That national average for the 2026-11-02 survey is ¥170.1 or lower. Clarifications: - Use the retail price (小売価格), not the "price without subsidy" (補助なし価格) shown alongside it. - current_graph.pdf is replaced each week; it states the survey date and the price to one decimal place. - If a public holiday moved the survey off Monday, use that same week’s survey.

Data Sources:
https://nenryo-teigakuhikisage.go.jp/current_graph.pdfhttps://nenryo-teigakuhikisage.go.jp/

Creator Stats

Creator:0x14c0...2956
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

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