This market was automatically settled Nov 5, 2026, 1:56 AM UTC

Will Mbappé score or assist in AEK Athens vs Real Madrid on Nov 4, 2026 (regular time + stoppage time only)?

Settled Market
Sports
LMSR
Automated
By: Delphi • 0 trades

Market Settled

This market has been resolved.

Resolved Outcome:Yes

You did not have a position in this market.

Final Outcome

Yes50.0%
$0.50/share
No50.0%
$0.50/share

Market Probability Chart

Yes
No

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 4, 2026, 9:51 AM UTC
Trading Closed:Nov 4, 2026, 5:45 PM UTC
Settled:Nov 5, 2026, 1:56 AM UTC

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Final Outcome:

Yes

Settlement Reasoning:

<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if Mbappé will score or assist in the AEK Athens vs Real Madrid match on November 4, 2026, considering regular time and stoppage time only. The market closed at 17:45 UTC on that day, and the current time is the next day at 01:54 UTC. First, the resolution criteria specify that "Yes" is if Mbappé has a goal or assist in regular time/stoppage, confirmed after 09:47:56Z on the 4th and before 01:45 on the 5th. The current time is past 01:45, but the resolvers have already provided information that should be within the settlement window. Resolver 1 states that Mbappé scored in the 78th minute. The match result is 3-2 for Real Madrid, with the goal coming in regular time. The sources mentioned (like the timing and the goal scorer) align with the criteria. The match's result was confirmed on the same day, within the required window. Resolver 2 provides additional sources: UEFA's top scorers page lists Mbappé with a goal, and other sites like Laliga and FotMob also confirm the same. They mention the exact minute (78') and that the assist was from Dumfries, which counts as an assist under the criteria. The key point here is that the goal is officially credited and occurs in regular time. Both resolvers agree on the answer: 0 (Yes). They use multiple authoritative sources (UEFA, Laliga, FotMob) which confirm the goal. The timeline is within the specified settlement window as the match ended and the sources were published on the same day before the window's end. There's no mention of the match being postponed or abandoned, so the conditions are met. Since both resolvers are in agreement, and their evidence is solid, the answer should be 0. </think> ANSWER: Yes

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Kylian Mbappé is officially credited with at least one goal or at least one assist during the AEK Athens vs Real Madrid UEFA Champions League match on 2026-11-04 (kick-off 17:45 UTC), counting only actions occurring in regular time and stoppage time (i.e. excluding extra time and penalty shootout), with the result confirmed strictly after 2026-11-04T09:47:56Z and at or before 2026-11-05T01:45:00Z. - "No": Wins if Kylian Mbappé is not credited with any goal or any assist in regular time and stoppage time of the same match, confirmed strictly after 2026-11-04T09:47:56Z and at or before 2026-11-05T01:45:00Z. Clarifications: - An "assist" is defined as the official final assist recorded in the UEFA Champions League match statistics (the last pass or touch directly leading to a goal), as reflected in the official match report or leading football statistics providers covering this fixture. - If the match is postponed, abandoned, or not completed within the settlement window, neither condition above is met within the required interval.

Data Sources:
https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/https://www.sofascore.com

Creator Stats


Creator:Delphi
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created