Will the first Fed G.17 Oct 2026 release print total industrial production up ≥0.5% MoM SA by Nov 17, 2026 at 22:00 UTC?

Active Market
Economics
LMSR
Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

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Yes
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Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 13, 2026, 5:04 PM UTC
Trading Closes:Nov 17, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Earliest settlement:Nov 17, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the first Federal Reserve G.17 release reporting October 2026 industrial production data, published strictly after 2026-11-13T15:14:41.459Z and at or before 2026-11-17T22:00:00.000Z, shows the total industrial production index (seasonally adjusted) month-over-month percent change for October 2026 at ≥ 0.5%. - "No": Wins if the first Federal Reserve G.17 release reporting October 2026 industrial production data, published strictly after 2026-11-13T15:14:41.459Z and at or before 2026-11-17T22:00:00.000Z, shows the total industrial production index (seasonally adjusted) month-over-month percent change for October 2026 at < 0.5%, or if no such release is published within that window. Clarifications: - The reference figure is the total industrial production index MoM percent change (seasonally adjusted) for October 2026 as printed in the first G.17 release covering that reference month; subsequent revisions do not affect settlement. - If the G.17 release for October 2026 is not published strictly after 2026-11-13T15:14:41.459Z and at or before 2026-11-17T22:00:00.000Z, "No" wins.

Data Sources:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/current/default.htmhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/release?rid=13

Creator Stats


Creator:Delphi
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Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

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