Will more than 1,025 flights within, into or out of the US be cancelled on Sat 14 Nov 2026?

Active Market
Miscellaneous
LMSR
Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: 0x14c0...2956

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Market Probability Chart

Yes
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Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 13, 2026, 3:59 PM UTC
Trading Closes:Nov 14, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": FlightAware's cancellation statistics report more than 1,025 total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for 2026-11-14, using FlightAware's own daily total. - "No": FlightAware's cancellation statistics report 1,025 or fewer total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for 2026-11-14. Clarifications: - Read the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States" line for 2026-11-14. FlightAware's daily count for 2026-11-14 is complete by 2026-11-15T00:00:00Z and is published under the "yesterday" view from that midnight (the figure is expected between 2026-11-15T00:00:00Z and 2026-11-15T06:00:00Z). - FlightAware retains only today and yesterday, so on 2026-11-15 the 2026-11-14 total appears as "yesterday".

Data Sources:
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Creator Stats


Creator:0x14c0...2956
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created