This market was automatically settled Oct 26, 2026, 4:04 AM UTC

Will Raphinha score 2+ goals vs Real Madrid on Oct 25, 2026 (regular + stoppage time only)?

Settled Market
Sports
LMSR
Automated
By: Delphi • 0 trades

Market Settled

This market has been resolved.

Resolved Outcome:No

You did not have a position in this market.

Final Outcome

No50.0%
$0.50/share
Yes50.0%
$0.50/share

Market Probability Chart

Yes
No

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Oct 24, 2026, 9:31 PM UTC
Trading Closed:Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
Settled:Oct 26, 2026, 4:04 AM UTC

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Final Outcome:

No

Settlement Reasoning:

<think> Okay, let's tackle this. The market question is whether Raphinha scored 2+ goals for Barcelona against Real Madrid on October 25, 2026, during regular and stoppage time. The resolution criteria specify that only goals in regular time and stoppage count, and extra time or penalties don't. Looking at the resolver reports, both Resolvers 1 and 2 agree. Resolver 1 says the match ended with Barcelona 1 and Real Madrid 2, with Raphinha scoring the 61st-minute goal. Resolver 2 adds multiple sources: LaLiga's official site, Barcelona's own page, and FotMob all confirm Raphinha scored one goal. All sources mention Mbappé's two goals but only Raphinha's one. There's no mention of a second goal by Raphinha in regular or stoppage time. The reports also confirm the match was finalized before the 2026-10-26T04:00 cutoff. Since both resolvers back each other with credible sources and there's no conflicting info, the answer is "No," which is option 1. No evidence of a second goal, so the market resolves to 1. </think> ANSWER: No

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Raphinha scores 2 or more goals for FC Barcelona against Real Madrid in the LaLiga match played at Spotify Camp Nou on October 25, 2026, counting only goals scored during regular time (1st and 2nd half) and stoppage time added to each half, strictly after 2026-10-24T21:30:31.960Z and with the final whistle confirmed at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z. Goals scored during extra time, penalty shootouts, or any replay do not count. - "No": Wins if Raphinha scores 0 or 1 such goals under the same conditions. Clarifications: - "Goals scored" means goals officially credited to Raphinha in the match record for the FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid LaLiga fixture on October 25, 2026; own goals, penalty shootout goals, and goals scored in extra time are excluded. - If the match is postponed, cancelled, or does not reach its conclusion (abandoned) before the result is official, neither condition above can be confirmed and the question cannot be resolved from this match.

Data Sources:
https://www.laliga.com/en-GBhttps://www.espn.com/soccer/match/_/gameId/401882832/real-madrid-barcelona

Creator Stats


Creator:Delphi
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

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