Will Gap brand Q3 FY2026 comps (from earliest official earnings release by Nov 20, 2026 04:00 UTC) be ≥8%? (X=0 if release/figure absent)

Active Market
Finance
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Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

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Market Probability Chart

Yes, X ≥ 8%
No, X < 8%

My Position

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Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 14, 2026, 7:13 PM UTC
Trading Closes:Nov 19, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
Earliest settlement:Nov 20, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes, X ≥ 8%": Wins if the Gap brand (the Gap-branded segment, not Gap Inc. overall) comparable sales figure reported in the Gap Inc. Q3 FY2026 official earnings press release published strictly after 2026-11-14T18:27:40.491Z and at or before 2026-11-20T04:00:00.000Z is greater than or equal to 8%. - "No, X < 8%": Wins if the Gap brand comparable sales figure reported in the Gap Inc. Q3 FY2026 official earnings press release published strictly after 2026-11-14T18:27:40.491Z and at or before 2026-11-20T04:00:00.000Z is less than 8%, or if no such press release is published within that window, or if the Gap brand comparable sales figure is absent from any release published within that window. Clarifications: - "Gap brand comps" refers to the comparable sales (year-over-year) figure disclosed specifically for the Gap brand segment in the Gap Inc. Q3 FY2026 earnings press release, not the Gap Inc. consolidated comparable sales figure. - If the press release reports the figure as a rounded percentage (e.g., "+8%"), that rounded figure is used directly for the threshold comparison.

Data Sources:
https://investors.gapinc.com/press-releaseshttps://www.cnbc.com

Creator Stats


Creator:Delphi
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

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