Will at least 8.0% of flu tests in England come back positive in the week ending Sun 15 Nov 2026?
Active MarketLeading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades
By: 0x14c0...2956
By: 0x14c0...2956 • Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades
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Trade History
0 tradesMarket Stats
Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 12, 2026, 4:32 PM UTC
Trading Closes:Nov 19, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Settles within 48 hours of trading close.
AI Settlement
Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": The UKHSA influenza_testing_positivityByWeek value for England (all ages) for the week 2026-11-09 to 2026-11-15 is 8.0% or more as published at the time of settlement. - "No": That published value is below 8.0%. Clarifications: - In the UKHSA API the week is labelled by its Monday (2026-11-09).
Data Sources:
https://api.ukhsa-dashboard.data.gov.uk/themes/infectious_disease/sub_themes/respiratory/topics/Influenza/geography_types/Nation/geographies/England/metrics/influenza_testing_positivityByWeek?year=2026&page_size=365https://ukhsa-dashboard.data.gov.uk/respiratory-viruses/influenza
Creator Stats
Creator:0x14c0...2956
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%
Less than 5 total markets created