This market was automatically settled Nov 13, 2026, 2:35 PM UTC
Will Delhi’s CPCB AQI 24-hour average ending 10:30 UTC on 13 Nov 2026 be 301+ ("Very Poor" or worse)?
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<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if Delhi's CPCB AQI 24-hour average ending at 10:30 UTC on November 13, 2026, will be 301 or higher. The options are "Yes" (option 0) or "No" (option 1). First, I need to check the resolution criteria. The criteria state that if the AQI is 301 or more, it's a "Yes," and if it's below 301, it's a "No." The CPCB publishes a bulletin every day at 4 PM local time (10:30 UTC), which covers the 24-hour average up to that point. The relevant number here is the city-level AQI for Delhi in that specific bulletin. Resolver 1 mentions that multiple sources reported Delhi's AQI on that day. Specifically, The New Indian Express says the AQI dropped to 373 at 4 PM from above 400 earlier. They note that 373 is in the "Very Poor" category, which aligns with the market's requirement of 301+. They also confirm that this is the 4 PM bulletin, which matches the timing in the resolution criteria. Resolver 2 provides even more direct evidence. They found the official CPCB PDF for the given date and time. The title of the bulletin is "Air Quality Index on Nov 13, 2026 @ 4 PM," which exactly matches the required time. The PDF lists Delhi's AQI as 373, under the "Very Poor" category. Resolver 2 also includes the link to the PDF, which strengthens their argument since it's an official source. Since the resolution criteria mention that the CPCB bulletin is a suggested source but any credible one is acceptable, this official document should be the definitive proof. Both resolvers agree the AQI is 373, which is 301 or higher. Resolver 1 uses a news Article, and Resolver 2 provides the actual PDF. Even if the article was incorrect, the official PDF directly supports the answer. The market closed on the 13th at 6 AM UTC, and the bulletin was posted after market close, but as per the Timing rules, evidence published after market close is still valid. There's no mention of the PDF being unavailable or questionable. Both sources are credible. Therefore, the answer should be "Yes" (option 0) as the value meets the criteria. </think> ANSWER: Yes
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": India’s Central Pollution Control Board (CPCB) national AQI bulletin covering the 24-hour average ending 2026-11-13 at 10:30 UTC lists Delhi with an AQI of 301 or higher (Very Poor or worse). - "No": The Delhi value in that bulletin is below 301. Clarifications: - CPCB labels this bulletin as the 4 PM bulletin (16:00 local time = 10:30 UTC); the figure reported is the 24-hour average AQI ending at that instant, not an instantaneous reading. - Bands: Good 0-50, Satisfactory 51-100, Moderate 101-200, Poor 201-300, Very Poor 301-400, Severe 401+. - Use the city-level entry for Delhi, not a single monitoring station. - The bulletin PDF is normally posted about 10:36 UTC, i.e. expected between 2026-11-13T10:30:00Z and 2026-11-13T11:30:00Z.
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