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Will Binance announce it will cover 100% of user fund losses from the Oct 29 exploit within the next 3 days?

Active Market
Crypto/Web3
LMSR
Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

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Market Probability Chart

Yes
No

My Position

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Market Stats

Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Oct 29, 2026, 9:24 PM UTC
Trading Closes:Nov 1, 2026, 9:22 PM UTC
Earliest settlement:Nov 2, 2026, 5:22 AM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement

Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Binance publishes an official announcement on its official channels (blog, press release, or official social media account) strictly after 2026-10-29T21:22:00Z and at or before 2026-11-01T21:22:00Z confirming that it will cover 100% of user fund losses stemming from the October 29, 2026 exploit. - "No": Wins if no such official announcement is made by Binance strictly after 2026-10-29T21:22:00Z and at or before 2026-11-01T21:22:00Z confirming that it will cover 100% of user fund losses stemming from the October 29, 2026 exploit. Clarifications: - An announcement qualifies only if it explicitly commits to covering 100% of affected user fund losses from the October 29, 2026 exploit; partial coverage pledges, general SAFU fund references, or statements that funds are unaffected do not satisfy the "Yes" condition.

Data Sources:
https://www.binance.com/en/bloghttps://twitter.com/binance

Creator Stats

Creator:Delphi
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created